The 9am figures not disclosed yet?

Today's headline analysis:

• 352 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 516
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 10.1% to 590 per day, following 7.7% decrease yesterday (and 5th consecutive daily decrease)
• 7-day average for new cases is 34.0% lower than one week ago (from 28.2% lower yesterday) and 51.0% lower than two weeks ago (from 46.2% lower yesterday and 31.9% lower 7 days ago)
• 16 new deaths in all settings reported in 24-hour period, down from 22 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths in all settings decreases by 1.3% to 95 per day, following 2.0% decrease yesterday (and 5th consecutive daily decrease)
• 7-day average for new deaths in all settings is 19.2% lower than one week ago (from 17.1% lower yesterday) and 27.3% lower than two weeks ago (from 28.2% lower yesterday and 28.1% lower 7 days ago)
 
Frighteningly if you look at the 7 day average, only one country (Mexico) is reporting more deaths per day than us. This is a long tail. My only hope is that the government's herd immunity policy is correct and the suffering and death we are being subjected to now translates in a smaller second wave than most countries. I don't hold out much hope though.
 
SmallTown said:
Frighteningly if you look at the 7 day average, only one country (Mexico) is reporting more deaths per day than us. This is a long tail. My only hope is that the government's herd immunity policy is correct and the suffering and death we are being subjected to now translates in a smaller second wave than most countries. I don't hold out much hope though.
Click to expand...
The last ONS antibody report had less than 6% with antibodies.
 
SmallTown said:
Frighteningly if you look at the 7 day average, only one country (Mexico) is reporting more deaths per day than us. This is a long tail. My only hope is that the government's herd immunity policy is correct and the suffering and death we are being subjected to now translates in a smaller second wave than most countries. I don't hold out much hope though.
Click to expand...

I'm not sure if I understand you correctly, but our 7 day average is also definitely less than USA, Brazil, India and Peru.

That is not to say that I do not agree that we are subject to horrible suffering and hope the same as you with regards to a second wave.
 
bear66 said:
The last ONS antibody report had less than 6% with antibodies.
Click to expand...

Spain is 5% (61k tested), although Madrid & surrounding regions are c.10-15% but that came off the back of 72,168 confirmed cases and 8,439 deaths.

If herd immunity has an effect at 60% (by my simple maths) that would mean another 210k cases & 25k deaths, in Madrid alone.

That doesn't seem like a viable strategy.
 
Cboro said:
I'm not sure if I understand you correctly, but our 7 day average is also definitely less than USA, Brazil, India and Peru.

That is not to say that I do not agree that we are subject to horrible suffering and hope the same as you with regards to a second wave.
Click to expand...
To be fair I was comparing apples with potatoes (in other words a 7-day average with a single day rate) to emphasise a point. Our death rate is INCREDIBLY high compared to other countries when you look at how long ago our first 100 cases were
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 581 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 352
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 2.6% to 575 per day, following 10.1% decrease yesterday (and 6th consecutive daily decrease)
• 7-day average for new cases is 33.8% lower than one week ago (from 34.0% lower yesterday) and 49.9% lower than two weeks ago (from 51.0% lower yesterday and 33.2% lower 7 days ago)
• 155 new deaths in all settings reported in 24-hour period, up from 16 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths in all settings remains static at 95 per day, following 2.0% decrease yesterday (and 5 consecutive daily decreases)
• 7-day average for new deaths in all settings is 17.6% lower than one week ago (from 19.2% lower yesterday) and 22.0% lower than two weeks ago (from 27.3% lower yesterday and 26.1% lower 7 days ago)
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 630 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 581
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 4.9% to 546 per day, following 2.6% decrease yesterday (and 7th consecutive daily decrease)
• 7-day average for new cases is 38.8% lower than one week ago (from 33.8% lower yesterday) and 49.5% lower than two weeks ago (from 49.9% lower yesterday and 32.1% lower 7 days ago)
• 126 new deaths in all settings reported in 24-hour period, down from 155 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths in all settings decreases by 7.6% to 87 per day, following no change yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths in all settings is 25.8% lower than one week ago (from 17.6% lower yesterday) and 25.3% lower than two weeks ago (from 22.0% lower yesterday and 19.5% lower 7 days ago)
 
bear66 said:
As of 5pm on 8 July, of those tested positive for coronavirus in the UK, 44,602 have died across all settings.

Deaths announced in all settings was 85.

642 new positive tests of which 157 were Pillar 1.
Click to expand...
The latest ONS report is interesting.
Found 8 positives out of 25,662 tests.

Estimates 0.03% community infection rate, could be as low as 0.01% and as high as 0.06%.

Isn't a pandemic classed as a pandemic at 0.45%?
 
RandySavage said:
The latest ONS report is interesting.
Found 8 positives out of 25,662 tests.

Estimates 0.03% community infection rate, could be as low as 0.01% and as high as 0.06%.

Isn't a pandemic classed as a pandemic at 0.45%?
Click to expand...
A pandemic means that 'most' countries/continents have the disease. There is no % degree of infection requirement.
 
bear66 said:
A pandemic means that 'most' countries/continents have the disease. There is no % degree of infection requirement.
Click to expand...
Ok cheers.
Must a figure though.
As say for example if every country in the world had just 1 case each would it still be classed a pandemic?
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top