The 9am figures not disclosed yet?

Today's headline analysis:

• 42,583 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 37,681
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 0.8% to 43,332 per day, following 0.8% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for new cases is 3.7% higher than one week ago (from 6.4% higher yesterday) and 12.4% higher than two weeks ago (from 16.5% higher yesterday and 22.0% higher 7 days ago)
• 35 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 51 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 1.2% to 119.7 per day, following 1.2% decrease yesterday (and 12th daily decrease in the past 15 days)
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 18.4% lower than one week ago (from 17.6% lower yesterday) and 22.6% lower than two weeks ago (from 22.4% lower yesterday and 13.8% lower 7 days ago)
 
4 days of decreasing case rates now, each decreasing more than the last. Hope it continues, and looks like we’re not going near the October peak 👍
 

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Weren't we on 50,000 a few days ago? Can't just be the weather at play to knock 10,000+ off.
4 days of decreasing case rates now, each decreasing more than the last. Hope it continues, and looks like we’re not going near the October peak 👍
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 39,716 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 42,583
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 0.9% to 42,936 per day, following 0.8% decrease yesterday (and 4th consecutive daily decrease)
• 7-day average for new cases is 1.0% higher than one week ago (from 3.7% higher yesterday) and 9.7% higher than two weeks ago (from 12.4% higher yesterday and 24.5% higher 7 days ago)
• 159 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 35 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 0.7% to 118.9 per day, following 1.2% decrease yesterday (and 13th daily decrease in the past 16 days)
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 14.9% lower than one week ago (from 18.4% lower yesterday) and 19.6% lower than two weeks ago (from 22.6% lower yesterday and 15.7% lower 7 days ago)
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 48,374 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 39,716
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 1.6% to 43,607 per day, following 0.9% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for new cases is 0.7% higher than one week ago (from 1.0% higher yesterday) and 11.9% higher than two weeks ago (from 9.7% higher yesterday and 24.5% higher 7 days ago)
• 171 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 159 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 2.6% to 122.0 per day, following 0.7% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 7.8% lower than one week ago (from 14.9% lower yesterday) and 16.4% lower than two weeks ago (from 19.6% lower yesterday and 20.0% lower 7 days ago)
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 53,945 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 48,374
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 2.2% to 44,565 per day, following 1.6% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new cases is 2.8% higher than one week ago (from 0.7% higher yesterday) and 12.5% higher than two weeks ago (from 11.9% higher yesterday and 25.3% higher 7 days ago)
• 141 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 171 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 0.7% to 121.1 per day, following 2.6% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 3.0% lower than one week ago (from 7.8% lower yesterday) and 17.3% lower than two weeks ago (from 16.4% lower yesterday and 23.2% lower 7 days ago)

Highest daily reported new cases since the peak of the Euros spike on 17th July.
 
Billy do we know of the 54k cases how many were omicron? I assume not at the minute?

I don’t think we know for sure, but there’s still only a very small number been confirmed nationally. I think I read somewhere that at least 40,000 of the 45,000 cases per day are caused by Delta, as that remains the dominant variant in the UK at the moment.
 
It does beg the question why the sudden change to increased infections though
Seems like the old "bed goes up, bed goes down" scenario.

We're on a very gradual trend up though, through the oscillations, from July to December, but for Delta we are well passed the point of maintaining exponential growth.

Still kids driving the infections mind, mainly the very youngest age groups, which would inevitably have to burn out soon, with Delta.

1638533663158.png

Omicron looks like it is going to change things mind, but that won't be effecting our numbers yet, still way too low for that.
 
Seems like the old "bed goes up, bed goes down" scenario.

We're on a very gradual trend up though, through the oscillations, from July to December, but for Delta we are well passed the point of maintaining exponential growth.

Still kids driving the infections mind, mainly the very youngest age groups, which would inevitably have to burn out soon, with Delta.

View attachment 28992

Omicron looks like it is going to change things mind, but that won't be effecting our numbers yet, still way too low for that.
I do wish they wouldn't bundle 25-65 together. Good to see the over 65's still declining.

The current jumps are quite big to write of as oscillations I would think. Big increases the last couple of days.
 
I do wish they wouldn't bundle 25-65 together. Good to see the over 65's still declining.

The current jumps are quite big to write of as oscillations I would think. Big increases the last couple of days.
I know, same, some split it out but that was the first I found.

I don't know, 1 & 2 Dec was a big jump, but they were after four low days (bad weather maybe, putting people off), probably equals out to a gradual incline on cases by date reported, but the cases by specimen date are showing level (if not down).

The rate of growth from 1-20 Oct, which was the last peak oscillation, is still a higher 7 day average, and a higher rate of growth than we're seeing now mind, but the next few days should paint a clearer picture.

Testing has been up massive too in recent days, probably Omicron fears driving that. Normally more testing is a result of higher infection, but that may not apply here.

More "wait and see", like always, it seems.
 
Not to steal @Billy Horner's thunder...

NI, Scotland and Wales are all down on last week, by a fair chunk, England slightly up, but at least England's not in "lift off" territory. Hopefully the last few days are just catch up from the bad weather.

40% of cases are still in the under 19's though, when do they break up for Crimbo? Wonder if it will burn out in those age groups before then, and before Omicron.

1638549477812.png
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 50,584 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 53,945
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 0.2% to 44,636 per day, following 2.2% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new cases is 1.0% higher than one week ago (from 2.8% higher yesterday) and 11.1% higher than two weeks ago (from 12.5% higher yesterday and 24.5% higher 7 days ago)
• 143 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, slightly up from 141 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 2.0% to 118.7 per day, following 0.7% decrease yesterday (and 15th daily decrease in the past 19 days)
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 5.2% lower than one week ago (from 3.0% lower yesterday) and 19.9% lower than two weeks ago (from 17.3% lower yesterday and 19.5% lower 7 days ago)
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 51,459 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 43,992
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 2.8% to 47,274 per day, following 2.0% increase yesterday (and 6th consecutive daily increase)
• 7-day average for new cases is 9.1% higher than one week ago (from 5.4% higher yesterday) and 13.2% higher than two weeks ago (from 12.1% higher yesterday and 12.4% higher 7 days ago)
• 41 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 54 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 0.7% to 119.4 per day, following 0.4% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 0.2% lower than one week ago (from 2.1% lower yesterday) and 18.6% lower than two weeks ago (from 19.3% lower yesterday and 22.6% lower 7 days ago)

Three instances of more than 50,000 reported new cases in the past five days, the first time this has happened since 10th January.
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 51,459 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 43,992
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 2.8% to 47,274 per day, following 2.0% increase yesterday (and 6th consecutive daily increase)
• 7-day average for new cases is 9.1% higher than one week ago (from 5.4% higher yesterday) and 13.2% higher than two weeks ago (from 12.1% higher yesterday and 12.4% higher 7 days ago)
• 41 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 54 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 0.7% to 119.4 per day, following 0.4% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 0.2% lower than one week ago (from 2.1% lower yesterday) and 18.6% lower than two weeks ago (from 19.3% lower yesterday and 22.6% lower 7 days ago)

Three instances of more than 50,000 reported new cases in the past five days, the first time this has happened since 10th January.
Thanks, as ever, Billy (y)
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 45,691 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 51,459
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 1.8% to 48,128 per day, following 2.8% increase yesterday (and 7th consecutive daily increase)
• 7-day average for new cases is 12.1% higher than one week ago (from 9.1% higher yesterday) and 13.2% higher than two weeks ago (from 13.2% higher yesterday and 9.7% higher 7 days ago)
• 180 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 41 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 2.5% to 122.4 per day, following 0.7% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 3.0% higher than one week ago (from 0.2% lower yesterday) and 12.4% lower than two weeks ago (from 18.6% lower yesterday and 19.6% lower 7 days ago)

7-day average for new cases now at its highest level since 16th January.
 
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