The 9am figures not disclosed yet?

Today's headline analysis:

• 6,391 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 5,455
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 3.8% to 7,680 per day, following 8.5% decrease yesterday (and 50th decrease in the past 51 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 29.4% lower than one week ago (from 28.7% lower yesterday) and 37.7% lower than two weeks ago (from 36.6% lower yesterday and 36.3% lower 7 days ago)
• 343 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 104 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 9.3% to 284 per day, following 3.2% decrease yesterday (and 37th decrease in the past 38 days)
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 36.0% lower than one week ago (from 34.7% lower yesterday) and 54.2% lower than two weeks ago (from 52.2% lower yesterday and 46.7% lower 7 days ago)

7-day average for new deaths falls below 300 for the first time since 4th November 2020.
 
Billy Horner said:
Today's headline analysis:

• 6,391 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 5,455
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 3.8% to 7,680 per day, following 8.5% decrease yesterday (and 50th decrease in the past 51 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 29.4% lower than one week ago (from 28.7% lower yesterday) and 37.7% lower than two weeks ago (from 36.6% lower yesterday and 36.3% lower 7 days ago)
• 343 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 104 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 9.3% to 284 per day, following 3.2% decrease yesterday (and 37th decrease in the past 38 days)
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 36.0% lower than one week ago (from 34.7% lower yesterday) and 54.2% lower than two weeks ago (from 52.2% lower yesterday and 46.7% lower 7 days ago)

7-day average for new deaths falls below 300 for the first time since 4th November 2020.
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So why are the figures dropping so fast? Presumably the vaccine is having an effect but they have been falling fast since before that became a factor. And the dominant variant is, supposedly, the more infectious 'Kent' version. Where I am we are down to new infection levels not seen for months.
 
Capybara said:
So why are the figures dropping so fast? Presumably the vaccine is having an effect but they have been falling fast since before that became a factor. And the dominant variant is, supposedly, the more infectious 'Kent' version. Where I am we are down to new infection levels not seen for months.
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Also doing three times as much testing aswell I think.
 
Positive % per test was below 1% for the first time in a long time yesterday I believe, the stats provided here are a surface level @Capybara you have to do a little digging for more info.
 
Capybara said:
So why are the figures dropping so fast? Presumably the vaccine is having an effect but they have been falling fast since before that became a factor. And the dominant variant is, supposedly, the more infectious 'Kent' version. Where I am we are down to new infection levels not seen for months.
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I imagine we've reached the point where fewer cases lead to fewer cases. The case numbers are going down, therefore there are fewer people to infect other people, therefore the cases go down more
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 6,385 new cases reported in 24-hour period, almost unchanged from yesterday's 6,391
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 6.6% to 7,173 per day, following 3.8% decrease yesterday (and 51st decrease in the past 52 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 31.6% lower than one week ago (from 29.4% lower yesterday) and 41.6% lower than two weeks ago (from 37.7% lower yesterday and 35.2% lower 7 days ago)
• 315 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 343 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 6.4% to 266 per day, following 9.3% decrease yesterday (and 38th decrease in the past 39 days)
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 33.8% lower than one week ago (from 36.0% lower yesterday) and 54.3% lower than two weeks ago (from 54.2% lower yesterday and 49.0% lower 7 days ago)
 
Billy, are we seeing a levelling off in the drop in infections? I noticed for a few days the drop off seems to have stalled. I do wonder if we will end up with background infections, I wouldn't have thought it would be 6,000 cases, but if many of those are asymptomatic, without the mass testing we wouldn't be seeing them.
 
Laughing said:
Billy, are we seeing a levelling off in the drop in infections? I noticed for a few days the drop off seems to have stalled. I do wonder if we will end up with background infections, I wouldn't have thought it would be 6,000 cases, but if many of those are asymptomatic, without the mass testing we wouldn't be seeing them.
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I wouldn't particularly say so.

Perhaps around a week ago it might have been possible to argue there were signs of levelling off, with the weekly reductions falling from 20%+ to 10%+ and fortnightly reductions from 40%+ to 30%+. However, as of the latest data, the weekly and fortnightly reductions stand at 31.6% and 41.6% respectively.

That said, as the numbers fall, the same percentage reduction will result in a smaller absolute decrease in the 7-day average when compared with a few weeks ago.
 
Cases have nearly halved in a week haven't they?

I saw that Yorkshire and Humber were still quite high. Apparently linked to a prison outbreak in Hull.
 
Hancock has already said that the link between cases and hospitalisations and ultimately deaths has been broken.
 
BoroFur said:
Hancock has already said that the link between cases and hospitalisations and ultimately deaths has been broken.
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I am sure that will become more and more true as people who are vaccinated catch very mild forms of the virus.

That is generally why I suggest there will be a background level of infections, but if it doesn't, generally result in exponential deaths, it may be a level we have to get used to living with. Which I accept may take a little while given the amount of uncertainty and fear we have lived with for a year.

In any event thanks Billy, it's good to know that infections are still reducing.
 
Laughing said:
I am sure that will become more and more true as people who are vaccinated catch very mild forms of the virus.

That is generally why I suggest there will be a background level of infections, but if it doesn't, generally result in exponential deaths, it may be a level we have to get used to living with. Which I accept may take a little while given the amount of uncertainty and fear we have lived with for a year.

In any event thanks Billy, it's good to know that infections are still reducing.
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I think I think %age fall in cases is still high. Of course that means the figures will appear to be showing down. Luckily they aren't yet
 
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