The 9am figures not disclosed yet?

I suspect we will see a slow down in the drop in positive cases due to vaccine rollout mechanism and some of the support structures. Older people who are the first to be vaccinated are also the most likely to show symptoms and get a test. They are not going to lose out financially. Once those people are vaccinated you have the most vulnerable, most likely to be tested protected and, largely, removed from the testing pool. We are then left with those less vulnerable and more importantly cannot afford to isolate so keep quiet about symptoms or don't get a test so they can go to work and continue spreading the disease.

I think we may end up with background levels of infections until the vaccination programme is complete. Even then I think we will still get infections at a low background level, due to the take up of vaccinations being lower than required for herd immunity.

What we will see, I hope is a massive drop of in deaths compared to infections.
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 9,985 new cases reported in 24-hour period, slightly up from yesterday's 9,938
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 2.8% to 10,189 per day, following 3.6% decrease yesterday (and 45th decrease in the past 46 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 15.7% lower than one week ago (from 14.7% lower yesterday) and 32.8% lower than two weeks ago (from 35.2% lower yesterday and 43.1% lower 7 days ago)
• 323 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 442 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 4.7% to 383 per day, following 9.5% decrease yesterday (and 32nd decrease in the past 33 days)
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 30.5% lower than one week ago (from 31.1% lower yesterday) and 49.2% lower than two weeks ago (from 49.0% lower yesterday and 45.8% lower 7 days ago)
 
A significant drop in deaths again today. Hopefully, this trend continues and we could be in the mid 200's p/d and fingers cross mid 100's the week after.

My mum (early 60's) and FiL (Mid 50's) have both had their letters for jabs this week, so it's definitely continuing to trickle down the age groups.
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 8,523 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 9,985
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 4.9% to 9,688 per day, following 2.8% decrease yesterday (and 46th decrease in the past 47 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 16.8% lower than one week ago (from 15.7% lower yesterday) and 33.7% lower than two weeks ago (from 32.8% lower yesterday and 41.3% lower 7 days ago)
• 345 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 323 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 7.0% to 356 per day, following 4.7% decrease yesterday (and 33rd decrease in the past 34 days)
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 31.3% lower than one week ago (from 30.5% lower yesterday) and 50.3% lower than two weeks ago (from 49.2% lower yesterday and 47.3% lower 7 days ago)

7-day average for new cases falls below 10,000 per day for the first time since 4th October 2020.
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 7,434 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 8,523
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 4.4% to 9,263 per day, following 4.9% decrease yesterday (and 47th decrease in the past 48 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 17.5% lower than one week ago (from 16.8% lower yesterday) and 33.3% lower than two weeks ago (from 33.7% lower yesterday and 41.3% lower 7 days ago)
• 290 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 345 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 6.2% to 334 per day, following 7.0% decrease yesterday (and 34th decrease in the past 35 days)
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 32.3% lower than one week ago (from 31.3% lower yesterday) and 51.4% lower than two weeks ago (from 50.3% lower yesterday and 47.0% lower 7 days ago)
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 6,035 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 7,434
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 5.9% to 8,721 per day, following 4.4% decrease yesterday (and 48th decrease in the past 49 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 21.2% lower than one week ago (from 17.5% lower yesterday) and 33.9% lower than two weeks ago (from 33.3% lower yesterday and 39.7% lower 7 days ago)
• 144 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 290 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 3.0% to 324 per day, following 6.2% decrease yesterday (and 35th decrease in the past 36 days)
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 33.5% lower than one week ago (from 32.3% lower yesterday) and 51.7% lower than two weeks ago (from 51.4% lower yesterday and 45.9% lower 7 days ago)
 
Last edited:
Billy Horner said:
Today's headline analysis:

• 6,035 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 7,434
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 509% to 8,721 per day, following 4.4% decrease yesterday (and 48th decrease in the past 49 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 21.2% lower than one week ago (from 17.5% lower yesterday) and 33.9% lower than two weeks ago (from 33.3% lower yesterday and 39.7% lower 7 days ago)
• 144 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 290 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 3.0% to 324 per day, following 6.2% decrease yesterday (and 35th decrease in the past 36 days)
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 33.5% lower than one week ago (from 32.3% lower yesterday) and 51.7% lower than two weeks ago (from 51.4% lower yesterday and 45.9% lower 7 days ago)
Click to expand...
A 509% fall in New cases? That's good news 😉
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 5,455 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 6,035
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 8.5% to 7,980 per day, following 5.9% decrease yesterday (and 49th decrease in the past 50 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 28.7% lower than one week ago (from 21.2% lower yesterday) and 36.6% lower than two weeks ago (from 33.9% lower yesterday and 36.8% lower 7 days ago)
• 104 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 144 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 3.2% to 314 per day, following 3.0% decrease yesterday (and 36th decrease in the past 37 days)
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 34.7% lower than one week ago (from 33.5% lower yesterday) and 52.2% lower than two weeks ago (from 51.7% lower yesterday and 46.1% lower 7 days ago)
 
Billy Horner said:
Today's headline analysis:

• 5,455 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 6,035
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 8.5% to 7,980 per day, following 5.9% decrease yesterday (and 49th decrease in the past 50 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 28.7% lower than one week ago (from 21.2% lower yesterday) and 36.6% lower than two weeks ago (from 33.9% lower yesterday and 36.8% lower 7 days ago)
• 104 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 144 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 3.2% to 314 per day, following 3.0% decrease yesterday (and 36th decrease in the past 37 days)
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 34.7% lower than one week ago (from 33.5% lower yesterday) and 52.2% lower than two weeks ago (from 51.7% lower yesterday and 46.1% lower 7 days ago)
Click to expand...
Early with the analysis today @Billy Horner. My tea will be much more enjoyable for that 👍
 
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