The 9am figures not disclosed yet?
- Thread starter bear66
- Start date
Tommy_Dickfingers
Well-known member
That's some drop in cases but also low testing numbers as well.
Hope it's not a processing error and it just means less people are showing symptoms hence less people asking for tests.
Hope it's not a processing error and it just means less people are showing symptoms hence less people asking for tests.
Jostler
Well-known member
Have to say i'm sceptical, that's some drop, I was optimistically hoping for around 17k, so 11k is huge. There is a reporting issue in NI, but that would only be 3-400 extra you'd think.
Number of people tested doesn't really bother me, you'd expect less people to be needing tests, it's just by how much the requirement has decreased as obviously there's a natural base in there that will be regularly tested regardless.
Number of people tested doesn't really bother me, you'd expect less people to be needing tests, it's just by how much the requirement has decreased as obviously there's a natural base in there that will be regularly tested regardless.
Billy Horner
Well-known member
Today's headline analysis:
• 11,299 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 15,540
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 6.4% to 18,295 per day, following 4.1% decrease yesterday (and 8th consecutive daily decrease)
• 7-day average for new cases is 27.6% lower than one week ago (from 22.8% lower yesterday) and 19.9% lower than two weeks ago (from 14.2% lower yesterday and 13.2% higher 7 days ago)
• 608 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 206 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 0.3% to 442 per day, following 0.2% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 4.0% higher than one week ago (from 6.0% higher yesterday) and 22.8% higher than two weeks ago (from 29.3% higher yesterday and 57.8% higher 7 days ago)
• 11,299 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 15,540
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 6.4% to 18,295 per day, following 4.1% decrease yesterday (and 8th consecutive daily decrease)
• 7-day average for new cases is 27.6% lower than one week ago (from 22.8% lower yesterday) and 19.9% lower than two weeks ago (from 14.2% lower yesterday and 13.2% higher 7 days ago)
• 608 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 206 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 0.3% to 442 per day, following 0.2% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 4.0% higher than one week ago (from 6.0% higher yesterday) and 22.8% higher than two weeks ago (from 29.3% higher yesterday and 57.8% higher 7 days ago)
WindyNook
Well-known member
Coronavirus Update (Live): 65,447,360 Cases and 1,510,129 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
Live statistics and coronavirus news tracking the number of confirmed cases, recovered patients, tests, and death toll due to the COVID-19 coronavirus from Wuhan, China. Coronavirus counter with new cases, deaths, and number of tests per 1 Million population. Historical data and info. Daily...
www.worldometers.info
As of today
UK 5th in table of total deaths behind
USA Brazil India Mexico
All have much bigger populations
7th in total number of cases
USA India Brazil France Russia Spain
5th in deaths per million of population
Belgium Peru Spain Italy
Why did Trump never lead with this UK 821 USA 796 deaths per million of population
Coronavirus Update (Live): 65,447,360 Cases and 1,510,129 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
Live statistics and coronavirus news tracking the number of confirmed cases, recovered patients, tests, and death toll due to the COVID-19 coronavirus from Wuhan, China. Coronavirus counter with new cases, deaths, and number of tests per 1 Million population. Historical data and info. Daily...
As of today
UK 5th in table of total deaths behind
USA Brazil India Mexico
All have much bigger populations
7th in total number of cases
USA India Brazil France Russia Spain
5th in deaths per million of population
Belgium Peru Spain Italy
Why did Trump never lead with this UK 821 USA 796 deaths per million of population
Not making excuses for the UK as we have done terrible, but USA, Brazil, India and Mexico all had much more notice than we did, so at least they all knew they had to do something and couldn't just pretend it wasn't going to come over there. USA and Brazil have tried hard to do a terrible job with loads of notice mind.
We had to weeks notice from Spain and Italy and were just slow to react, and that two weeks was extremely harmful, seeing as cases were doubling every 3 days back then, that two weeks probably cost us 20k deaths. We've been paying for that mistake ever since, we then did it again in late September.
Spain and Italy were the first hit in Europe, so it was harder for them (harder than the UK and a lot harder than the USA), but they got a grip on it quite quickly, could have been a lot worse. Belgium's government is messed up I think, so there's been no cohesion or responsibility which has caused big problems.
Peru is skint, has poor healthcare and is crowded in areas where they actually have people.
USA's figures are horrendous for the notice they had, for their wealth, and for how each state can almost manage itself, they're like the exact example of what not to do.
Thankfully a lot of the sates took no notice of Trump when they were getting into trouble, so it could have been even worse.
They're about to have a nightmare of monumental proportions though, Biden is going to be taking over in the middle of a mountain of cases and deaths. They're going to hit their peak and for a lot longer this time.
Trump leading with "UK 821 v USA 796 deaths per million of population" would have been the most Trump thing ever mind, comparing USA to a country that has done terrible, would be typical for him. What would be even more typical is because the one he's comparing to has had to fight it under much tougher circumstances. UK messed about for 2 weeks, the USA messed about for a month and then went at it half a$$ed. Had they got their act together they would half that death rate.
Maybe they should compare themselves to Canada, or maybe some countries that did well, with the same notice USA had?
Billy Horner
Well-known member
Today's headline analysis:
• 18,213 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 11,299
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 1.1% to 18,095 per day, following 6.4% decrease yesterday (and 9th consecutive daily decrease)
• 7-day average for new cases is 27.0% lower than one week ago (from 27.6% lower yesterday) and 19.7% lower than two weeks ago (from 19.9% lower yesterday and 10.7% higher 7 days ago)
• 696 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 608 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 5.4% to 466 per day, following 0.3% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 12.1% higher than one week ago (from 4.0% higher yesterday) and 22.8% higher than two weeks ago (from 24.3% higher yesterday and 40.7% higher 7 days ago)
• 18,213 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 11,299
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 1.1% to 18,095 per day, following 6.4% decrease yesterday (and 9th consecutive daily decrease)
• 7-day average for new cases is 27.0% lower than one week ago (from 27.6% lower yesterday) and 19.7% lower than two weeks ago (from 19.9% lower yesterday and 10.7% higher 7 days ago)
• 696 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 608 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 5.4% to 466 per day, following 0.3% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 12.1% higher than one week ago (from 4.0% higher yesterday) and 22.8% higher than two weeks ago (from 24.3% higher yesterday and 40.7% higher 7 days ago)
Billy Horner
Well-known member
Today's headline analysis:
• 17,555 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 18,213
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 4.2% to 17,329 per day, following 1.1% decrease yesterday (and 10th consecutive daily decrease)
• 7-day average for new cases is 25.6% lower than one week ago (from 27.0% lower yesterday) and 27.4% lower than two weeks ago (from 19.7% lower yesterday and 3.3% higher 7 days ago)
• 498 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 696 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 0.1% to 465 per day, following 5.4% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 14.4% higher than one week ago (from 12.1% higher yesterday) and 16.0% higher than two weeks ago (from 22.8% higher yesterday and 31.5% higher 7 days ago)
• 17,555 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 18,213
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 4.2% to 17,329 per day, following 1.1% decrease yesterday (and 10th consecutive daily decrease)
• 7-day average for new cases is 25.6% lower than one week ago (from 27.0% lower yesterday) and 27.4% lower than two weeks ago (from 19.7% lower yesterday and 3.3% higher 7 days ago)
• 498 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 696 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 0.1% to 465 per day, following 5.4% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 14.4% higher than one week ago (from 12.1% higher yesterday) and 16.0% higher than two weeks ago (from 22.8% higher yesterday and 31.5% higher 7 days ago)
Jostler
Well-known member
Progress being made. We should continue to see decline for the next two weeks at least which at 20-25% decline will hopefully See us at around 9-10k.
The question then becomes do the measures in place post 2nd Dec allow a) the number to be stabilised b) hopefully continue the decline and c) allow people like Randy in the hospitality industry the opportunity to safely work.
bear66
Well-known member
We'll find out how retail affects new cases in Tier 3. I thought the incidence in supermarkets given last week served high; general retail will push things higher.
Billy Horner
Well-known member
Today's headline analysis:
• 16,022 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 17,555
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 3.5% to 16,725 per day, following 4.2% decrease yesterday (and 11th consecutive daily decrease)
• 7-day average for new cases is 25.0% lower than one week ago (from 25.6% lower yesterday) and 31.5% lower than two weeks ago (from 27.4% lower yesterday and 0.5% lower 7 days ago)
• 521 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 498 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 0.3% to 467 per day, following 0.1% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 9.6% higher than one week ago (from 14.4% higher yesterday) and 15.5% higher than two weeks ago (from 16.0% higher yesterday and 32.8% higher 7 days ago)
• 16,022 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 17,555
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 3.5% to 16,725 per day, following 4.2% decrease yesterday (and 11th consecutive daily decrease)
• 7-day average for new cases is 25.0% lower than one week ago (from 25.6% lower yesterday) and 31.5% lower than two weeks ago (from 27.4% lower yesterday and 0.5% lower 7 days ago)
• 521 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 498 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 0.3% to 467 per day, following 0.1% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 9.6% higher than one week ago (from 14.4% higher yesterday) and 15.5% higher than two weeks ago (from 16.0% higher yesterday and 32.8% higher 7 days ago)
Billy Horner
Well-known member
Comparing Wave 2 with Wave 1:
Highest number of positive tests (7-day average) as a proportion of all tests processed (7-day average) since 12th May (6 days later than last week).
Highest 7-day average for hospital admissions since 23rd April (2 days later than last week).
Highest number of people in hospital since 22nd April (same date as last week).
Highest number of people on ventilation since 11th May (same date as last week).
Highest 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test since 8th May (3 days earlier than last week).
First instance of four consecutive days with 490 or more new deaths announced since 2nd May (same date as last week's comparison with 500 or more deaths on four consecutive days).
Highest number of positive tests (7-day average) as a proportion of all tests processed (7-day average) since 12th May (6 days later than last week).
Highest 7-day average for hospital admissions since 23rd April (2 days later than last week).
Highest number of people in hospital since 22nd April (same date as last week).
Highest number of people on ventilation since 11th May (same date as last week).
Highest 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test since 8th May (3 days earlier than last week).
First instance of four consecutive days with 490 or more new deaths announced since 2nd May (same date as last week's comparison with 500 or more deaths on four consecutive days).
Billy Horner
Well-known member
As can be seen, the vast majority of the above indicators appear to be moving in the right direction. The exception is deaths within 28 days of a positive test (which is to be expected due to time lags) and, even with that, the growth appears to have slowed down significantly recently.
Billy Horner
Well-known member
Today's headline analysis:
• 15,871 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 16,022
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 3.4% to 16,153 per day, following 3.5% decrease yesterday (and 12th consecutive daily decrease)
• 7-day average for new cases is 24.1% lower than one week ago (from 25.0% lower yesterday) and 34.6% lower than two weeks ago (from 31.5% lower yesterday and 6.7% lower 7 days ago)
• 479 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 521 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 4.2% to 487 per day, following 0.3% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 19.0% higher than one week ago (from 9.6% higher yesterday) and 18.3% higher than two weeks ago (from 15.5% higher yesterday and 22.6% higher 7 days ago)
• 15,871 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 16,022
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 3.4% to 16,153 per day, following 3.5% decrease yesterday (and 12th consecutive daily decrease)
• 7-day average for new cases is 24.1% lower than one week ago (from 25.0% lower yesterday) and 34.6% lower than two weeks ago (from 31.5% lower yesterday and 6.7% lower 7 days ago)
• 479 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 521 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 4.2% to 487 per day, following 0.3% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 19.0% higher than one week ago (from 9.6% higher yesterday) and 18.3% higher than two weeks ago (from 15.5% higher yesterday and 22.6% higher 7 days ago)