It looks as your final point is the main problem. There are falling infection rates in areas being put in Tier 3, but it's younger people that is causing this. Over 60s infection rates have gone up by a factor of 4 in a month. Nottingham has 40% more people in hospital with Covid-19 than in the peak in April.i thinks it’s important to remember that students are being tested any more, and were averaging 20k+ most days still
cases are rising amongst the over 30’s as demonstrated in Manchester thread I started.