N Shropshire By Election

Laughing

Well-known member
I have been watching betfair markets on the by election today and the tories have drifted from 1.71 this morning to 1.92 just now. The drift has been gradual and its almost like the market is being moved by exit polls.

Lib dems have shrunk from 2.3 to 2.04 on the same period.

This is going to be very close.
 
I have been watching betfair markets on the by election today and the tories have drifted from 1.71 this morning to 1.92 just now. The drift has been gradual and its almost like the market is being moved by exit polls.

Lib dems have shrunk from 2.3 to 2.04 on the same period.

This is going to be very close.
What are those odds in old money?
 
There has been a steady but significant drift of the tory price following an obvious weight of money
 
Lib dems have just gone favourite and tories are drifting with no support. It could mean nothing, of course.
 
I have been watching betfair markets on the by election today and the tories have drifted from 1.71 this morning to 1.92 just now. The drift has been gradual and its almost like the market is being moved by exit polls.

Lib dems have shrunk from 2.3 to 2.04 on the same period.

This is going to be very close.
I may be wrong but I believe exit polls can't be published until after the polling is closed.
 
I believe you are right, leaked maybe?
Wouldn't be the first time. I was checking out the rules and found this.

"What does the law actually state on the publication of exit polls?​

Section 66A of the Representation of the People Act 1983 (as amended) makes it a criminal offence ‘to publish, before a poll is closed, any statement about the way in which voters have voted in that election, where this statement is, or might reasonably be taken to be, based on information given by voters after they voted’."

Then:-
"A publisher who breaches s 66a would be liable to a fine of up to £5,000 or a jail term of up to six months." Unless of course your name is Kuenssberg.
 
Even money, more or less between tory and lib dem. This morning it was 6/4 lib dem 4/6 tories, roughly with some crappy maths mental arithme
I have been watching betfair markets on the by election today and the tories have drifted from 1.71 this morning to 1.92 just now. The drift has been gradual and its almost like the market is being moved by exit polls.

Lib dems have shrunk from 2.3 to 2.04 on the same period.

This is going to be very closConstituency
I have been watching betfair markets on the by election today and the tories have drifted from 1.71 this morning to 1.92 just now. The drift has been gradual and its almost like the market is being moved by exit polls.

Lib dems have shrunk from 2.3 to 2.04 on the same period.

This is going to be very close.
I live in the constituency and the Lib Dems have been telling lies throughout. They have been in third place in every election for many years - sometimes by miles - but have been pretending they were continually second and that any other non tory vote is wasted. Naughty Lib Dems. They also get donors to place big bets so they can pretend they are the bookies favourites to feed that narrative. It will be interesting but it’s a hell of a majority to turn round. Where I live no one at all has a good word for Paterson, he did nothing for this area, yet he had a huge vote. Labour nearly took the seat in 97, lost by a handful I think. Boris and brexit were huge at the last GE.
 
I live in the constituency and the Lib Dems have been telling lies throughout. They have been in third place in every election for many years - sometimes by miles - but have been pretending they were continually second and that any other non tory vote is wasted. Naughty Lib Dems. They also get donors to place big bets so they can pretend they are the bookies favourites to feed that narrative. It will be interesting but it’s a hell of a majority to turn round. Where I live no one at all has a good word for Paterson, he did nothing for this area, yet he had a huge vote. Labour nearly took the seat in 97, lost by a handful I think. Boris and brexit were huge at the last GE.
Very interesting. If it is party money, they are spending a fair bit. The market has seen half a million+ wagered, nearly 300k of it on the lib dems. Tories still drifting massively, out to 2.56 with lib dems now on 1.63. That is some turn around if you are trying to manipulate the market that is that liquid.
 
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