I watched an hour long video interview with the fella. I think he does over-simplify and generalise and seems quite glib, to be frank... apart from getting emotional about not protecting the elderly.
However, his general assertion that the peak passed a good while ago looks like it might have some validity. In the video he suggests that, as you come out of lockdown, you will get a new hump of infections, but much less dramatic than the first, because there are more people around with antibodies. Anyway, this visualisation looks like the story he tells ... https://metro.co.uk/2020/05/13/coro...falling-faster-london-anywhere-else-12700171/
However, his general assertion that the peak passed a good while ago looks like it might have some validity. In the video he suggests that, as you come out of lockdown, you will get a new hump of infections, but much less dramatic than the first, because there are more people around with antibodies. Anyway, this visualisation looks like the story he tells ... https://metro.co.uk/2020/05/13/coro...falling-faster-london-anywhere-else-12700171/