How many wins do you think we’ll need to survive

Yes I’d say 4 as well but as you say depends on who the wins come against. That hull game is huge as is sat v charlton
 
4 wins - 12 points - as we're playing teams around us - must do better than last time - I think it could easily be as high as 50 points needed..

Peterborough got relegated with 54 points 2012-2013..
 
We are currently averaging 1.06 PTS per game for the season, 0.5 PTS per game over the last 8 so that shows the size of the task at hand.
As I said earlier, if we get nothing from Charlton, Hull and Stoke then even 12 might not be enough.
Lose to Charlton and that'd give them an immediate 4 point cushion on us with a minimum gd advantage of 3 to boot. On current form I don't think we'd close that gap in 9 games.
I hate to say it, but our best hope is that Hulls freefall gets even worse and we do enough to finish 4th bottom as they slip down further.
 
10 points could be enough. So mathematically, no wins 10 draws! I d prefer us to get for 10 points in the next 5 games, just to be sure though. But its a hard ask.
 
50 might 51 should 52 almost certainly will keep us up according to Vickers in Gazette I think he said
So 12/13/14 points....from 10 games
Doable, but would need a big upturn in form
 
One of the ultimate ironies in fighting a relegation battle is that you need pretty much the same form as you do to win promotion.
 
Well there’s one down so 3 more to go ?

the other question is how many wins can you see the bottoms club getting Luton Wigan hull etc
 
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