Googles COVID-19 Community Mobility Reports

dooderooni

dooderooni

Well-known member
Google has utilised anonymised location date to map the changing mobility trends globally and produced a dedicated site with reports you can download. They show some interesting stuff on the effects of the various lockdowns globally.

We seem to be staying home quite well.

Get them here
 
dooderooni said:
We seem to be staying home quite well.
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Think the test will be a sunny day dood, up to now it's been a bit inclement on the whole but sunshine, beer and beaches are a thing and I'm not certain that a lot of folk will restrain themselves. I hope I am wrong.

Get your burgers & coals in and BBQ in the garden with your own. Here's to the isolated garden party...Cheers!
 
They're doesn't seem to be a correlation between staying at home and infections in local authority areas. See north links/Hull versus areas with more infections.
 
Early days bear and the data will be a bit limited, but I think if you look at our local graphs for % at home then we seem to be on a continuing upward trend. Some others show a drop off at the end of March.
 
Increasing work towards the end of March is a bit surprising though. R&C and Hartlepool doing better than Boro on terms of infections with similar profiles.

Darlington doing better in staying at home and lower infections per head of population.
 
Check out the figures for lockdowns in Italy and Spain to see how stringent they are.
If you are at a loose end, look at the US and tell me I am wrong to be worried that they haven't done anywhere near enough.
 
Interesting analysis of why social distancing isn't the answer, but there is a way to get on top of this. Interesting to see how Italy, with far more stringent lockdown, goes from here as the downturn begins.

Herd immunity policy
 
Easy to see UK vs. Spain comparison about strictness of lock down. I have just lifted the data from the Google document and presented it side by side.

UKvsSpainLockDownGoogleComparison6WeeksTo29March2020.jpg
 
1finny said:
I’m really not sure what staying at home achieves other than, at some stage, slow down infections and deaths. Then what?
Without testing and tracing it just starts again doesn’t it?
Report today suggesting the current policy will just lead to a bit of a relaxation at some stage then further lockdowns as the virus pops up again and again.
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In the short term it reduces the number of unnecessary deaths. By keeping demand for medical services below the UK's & Spain's limited capacity. It is not the final solution. Other measures have to be put in place as well to deal with the longer term.
 
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1finny said:
I’m really not sure what staying at home achieves other than, at some stage, slow down infections and deaths. Then what?
Without testing and tracing it just starts again doesn’t it?
Report today suggesting the current policy will just lead to a bit of a relaxation at some stage then further lockdowns as the virus pops up again and again.

https://www.theguardian.com/comment...-surveillance-covid-19?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
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That link also says there is a way to go back the containment that we gave up on as soon we prevaricated or designed to move towards herd immunity. There needs to be local 'armies' of people tracking and testing ourselves back to some form of normality. The organisation and training needs to be done now or it will be another lost opportunity.
 
1finny said:
I’m really not sure what staying at home achieves other than, at some stage, slow down infections and deaths. Then what?
Click to expand...

Yeah, that's the point, it slows it down so it can be managed (or sort of managed), rather than a free for all (rough/ made up numbers below)
Option 1: No social distancing = 20m people infected very quickly, limited respirators, limited testing, no cure, no vaccine, high death rate = 200k dead
Option 2: Social distancing = 10m people infected, over a longer time frame, more respirators, more testing, more chance of a cure, more chance of a vaccine = 20k dead

Priority no 1, is basically buying time when you're least prepared, which is much more important than the numbers who are infected or will be infected.

Think of it like standing by the sea, smaller waves aren't putting you at much risk, but a Tsunami would. All the time you're stood on the beach there's guys inland building an arc or testing kits, PPE, ventilators, vaccines, cures etc.

In an ideal world, everyone would have enough food and not need to go out for anything and if that was done for a month it would disappear. That's pretty much impossible though, unless you weld peoples doors and windows shut.
 
Wev1 said:
Yeah, that's the point, it slows it down so it can be managed (or sort of managed), rather than a free for all (rough/ made up numbers below)
Option 1: No social distancing = 20m people infected very quickly, limited respirators, limited testing, no cure, no vaccine, high death rate = 200k dead
Option 2: Social distancing = 10m people infected, over a longer time frame, more respirators, more testing, more chance of a cure, more chance of a vaccine = 20k dead

Priority no 1, is basically buying time when you're least prepared, which is much more important than the numbers who are infected or will be infected.

Think of it like standing by the sea, smaller waves aren't putting you at much risk, but a Tsunami would. All the time you're stood on the beach there's guys inland building an arc or testing kits, PPE, ventilators, vaccines, cures etc.

In an ideal world, everyone would have enough food and not need to go out for anything and if that was done for a month it would disappear. That's pretty much impossible though, unless you weld peoples doors and windows shut.
Click to expand...
Then we go to contain by testing, isolating and tracking everyone with even mild symptoms.
 
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