Coronavirus good news thread

Quote about Iceland from an article I read today suggests the mortality rate may be less than believed...

"Early evidence from Iceland, a country with a very strong organisation for wide testing within the population, suggests that as many as 50 per cent of infections are almost completely asymptomatic. Most of the rest are relatively minor. In fact, Iceland’s figures, 648 cases and two attributed deaths, give a death rate of 0.3 per cent. As population testing becomes more widespread elsewhere in the world, we will find a greater and greater proportion of cases where infections have already occurred and caused only mild effects. In fact, as time goes on, this will become generally truer too, because most infections tend to decrease in virulence as an epidemic progresses. "
 
The Iceland testing data gives hope (y)
In Iceland the government tests about 100 people per day with symptoms and an external organisation measures about 1000 people a day with no symptoms. They are not finding asymptomatic infections. It is good news that it isn't spreading quickly, but there is very little infection there at the moment.
 
They are not finding asymptomatic infections. .

I thought that was the point though Bear, they ARE finding asymptomatic infections, and lots of them (relatively, in terms of percentage)? Unless I misunderstand what you are saying?

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/futurism.com/half-coronavirus-carriers-no-symptoms/amp

“ Early results from deCode Genetics indicate that a low proportion of the general population has contracted the virus and that about half of those who tested positive are non-symptomatic,” said [Iceland’s chief epidemiologist Thorolfur] Guðnason.”
 
Everyone is asymptomatic before symptoms appear. There is no follow up to see if these people went on to show symptoms.

The testing shows about 0.86% of the population have the virus. It's probably similar here.

If half of all cases are asymptomatic, we are in serious trouble as they will be circulating amongst the 99.14%.
 
I actually like reading this thread because it builds my morale up ever so slightly and thats a good thing. You might be realistic Red but there are umpteen threads to mention the worrying stuff. This is like a comfort blanket of hope this thread. For me anyway.
 
Everyone is asymptomatic before symptoms appear. There is no follow up to see if these people went on to show symptoms..

I see what you mean now Bear, but I’m not so sure that’s the case. The articles are a bit vague on detail, to be fair, but the tone of some seem to suggest it’s not merely a case of people showing no symptoms because they aren’t yet developed. Anyway, the longer the days tick by, the more is known and the data and true picture can start to build.

https://www.zmescience.com/medicine/iceland-testing-covid-19-0523/

‘The whole population of the village was tested, and 3% of the residents tested positive. Then, after a two-week lockdown, the population was tested again. The transmission had been reduced by 90% and the results were confirmed: the majority of cases seem to be asymptomatic.’
 
There were similar findings in the town in Italy which tested everyone. A total lockdown for two weeks reduced transmission by 99%. Sadly, as done on China, that is the only way forward.
Woops. Got that wrong. Should have been 90%. But that's why longer lockdowns than two weeks will get us to a manageable situation.

The next point people make is that it will come back. It will. But then you go to the original WHO advice for "contain". Test, test, test everyone with symptoms, isolate straight away and longer if positive, follow up and test all contacts. It's a BIG job, but it's a big problem with a way back to some sort of normality. Now we know the consequences of ignoring advice (as the editor of the Lancet informed us today), let's get it right next time.
 
I was listening to radio 2 when Dermot O'Leary read out a text he'd just received from a NHS worker on her way home & went to fill up her car, once finished she went to pay & was told that it had been paid by an an anamous person, I can only a sume she was wearing a badge that someone noticed, nice gesture x
 
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Here is what the 1.2M euros donated by the new owner of UD Almería is being spent on....

UDA Contingency Plan in the fight against the coronavirus

€ 550,000 Hospital equipment and protection material for medical workers

€ 100,000 Aid to those affected

€ 50,000 City Council for protection material for their workers

€ 50,000 Provincial Council for protection material for their workers

€ 100,000 Red Cross for people at risk of social exclusion

€ 100,000 Civil Protection for an emergency vehicle

€ 10,000 Accompaniment to the elderly

€ 240,000 For emergencies and needs of those affected for layoffs and people without resources, after two months

UDA FOUNDATION
affected@udalmeriasad.com

ALMERIA
 
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