C-19 app infection chart (number of)

Encouraging that 24 new cases reported in London. Not so good news for the north east which now has the highest rate. No surprise at all with what we have seen over the last few weeks
 
London is around 7 days ahead of the NE with the virus. If there is herd immunity this will mean cases will lower earlier in London as the affected people who survive don't catch and spread the virus. Of course there are many that do not believe in herd immunity for CV-19. So their explanations of the London figure must be that the lock down type measures and peoples cautions were implemented in London first, less feasible in my opinion.
 
Can someone explain how nearly 2.2m people had the virus on March 31st, but according to the Government only about 4.8% of the UK population have had the virus in total. 4.8% = 3.168m

Are they saying someone has the virus for around 8 weeks? (based on the virus being present in the UK for 12 weeks).
 
Redwurzel said:
Can someone explain how nearly 2.2m people had the virus on March 31st, but according to the Government only about 4.8% of the UK population have had the virus in total. 4.8% = 3.168m

Are they saying someone has the virus for around 8 weeks? (based on the virus being present in the UK for 12 weeks).
Click to expand...

There are multiple flaws with this analysis, not least that it relies on self-diagnosis. As we have seen from other data, just because someone thinks they might have Covid-19, it doesn't mean that they have.

If you look at the Pillar 1 testing undertaken by the NHS (symptomatic patients who are ill enough to be admitted to hospital), the overall positive rate is just 15.7% and even if you proportion it against people tested rather than total tests, it's still only 20.7%. If you apply those proportions to these numbers, you can see that they would reduce significantly.
 
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