YouGov Poll - 33 Point lead!

But regardless to claim Starmer cannot deliver more left in a second term, because it's never been done before is fallacious as there simply isn't the evidence to support that claim.

As I said earlier Mart, I hope you're right. Hopefully Starmer is the first PM to lead a government that moves more to the left the longer it's in.

I have no idea why that would happen. It'd be a massive surprise. Starmer obviously doesn't hold any left wing convictions personally so I'm not sure why we're supposing he'd use whatever political capital he has on that kind of project. But hey ho, fingers crossed that's how it turns out.
 
there
Start with the best, look at Attlee's governments nationalisation reforms for coal and steel towards the end of their term compared to what they had campaigned on. The 1945 manifesto vs the 1950 and 51 equivalents.
isn't a single government that sticks rigidly to its manifesto, it isn't an example of a general trend to the right though
 
The country is crying out for normal and sensible, it seems that a lot of voters think Starmer meets the requirements.
The country needs a transformative and capable leader, and if you think that this swing to Labour is because of anything Starmer is doing, think again. We have endured years of the most useless, dishonest, corrupt series of governments in UK history.
 
Honestly this is just so stupid I don't know what to say to it. This is what I mean by cultists. You get people like Andy arguing for actual absurdisms.

It's 2022. Yes the pandemic was big news but it doesn't mean that anything said just two years when the pandemic was happening anyway suddenly is as irrelevent as a century ago. It's obviously, obviously, obviously not.

Re-read my post about energy policy. We've been over this before and you simply don't have an answer for it. The crisis of the capitalist model is more reason to change, not less. You can't invoke that a reason we suddenly all need to want tory economics ad infitum.
Jesus, you took my 1922 comment literally? Wow :rolleyes:

Cultist? I voted for Corbyn, and will vote for Starmer, and I'm not the one shooting down the labour leader at any opportunity. Hard to be classed as a cultist, when you're in all the cults.

Yes, comparing to 1922 is ludicrous, as is going absolutely bananas thinking nothing has changed and that the priorities of early 2020 are anywhere near the priorities of 2022-2025, never mind 2025-2030. I never said they were not important, and of course they still are (especially to me), but they won't be the headline grabbers that Labour will need to win power, and retain it.

The pandemic, coupled with everything else and Labour are going to inherit one of the biggest black holes ever known. It's not going to be possible to go all guns blazing, the books will have to be balanced, and to a point where it doesn't risk a loss in 2030, or the deck gets stacked against the worse off even more. Labour are going to need 10 years in power to make a significant dent in a lot of the UK's problems.

Like I said, just because the pledges were removed, does not mean those ideas are completely forgotten about, trying to insinuate so is a poor straw man argument. Labours alternatives will be better than the Tory alternative to those, to think this would not be the case, for the 2025 manifesto is ludicrous. You can point out these when the manifesto's come out if you like?

Which was your post on Energy policy? I don't think nationalising now is a good idea, but like I said I'm happy for that long term, and hopefully Labour will be too long term. Labour seem to be interested in creating a nationalised company for new energy generation, which is the right way to go, I think.
But no matter what they chose to do regarding energy policy, I'll likely not be that bothered as it's not a priority at the minute (in so much as there's nothing we can do to drop prices at the minute) and will be a lesser priority when prices drop. I wouldn't really want to create an energy policy now for the next term), I'd be looking at what the situation is in 2024 and the forecast for 2025-2035 before doing that. If the Tories seem to be doing something silly (like banning onshore wind), then go after that, like Starmer has done.

No matter what happens any policy which is going to be implemented is going to be greener, and likely involve more wind and some sort of energy storage, as that's our main viable option at the minute.
 
not sure that's true, he's a pragmatist not an ideologist, and he's not daft enough to run on ideology when left ideology has failed previously to get elected.

Gosh he's wonderful isn't he. What a man. Whatever he says now is the best possible thing to say now to get elected. Once he's elected whatever you imagine the best thing to do is, that's what he'll be doing. Even if it's the opposite of what he says now, that just won't matter then. What a fantastic, delightful leader. Don't call it a cult though. (y) Fair enough chaps, you've won me over. I'm in.
 
The country needs a transformative and capable leader, and if you think that this swing to Labour is because of anything Starmer is doing, think again. We have endured years of the most useless, dishonest, corrupt series of governments in UK history.
It is partially to do with Starmer, as he's making himself look like a viable alternative to a massive swathe of the population, and all of those people's votes are worth the same as yours and mine. This is looking like it will be the first time someone has actually appealed to enough to actually beat these clowns in what will be the last 15 years.

Milliband lost to them, then Cobyn lost to them twice (and definitely lost to the worst one in power during an election, and by the biggest margin), and was kicking around during the Brexit vote for self-harm. Won't really blame Brown as he was taking over from Blair, who was the best we've had for decades, and had been in power a long time (and to many we were due a change).
 
Milliband lost to them, then Cobyn lost to them twice (and definitely lost to the worst one in power during an election, and by the biggest margin), and was kicking around during the Brexit vote for self-harm. Won't really blame Brown as he was taking over from Blair, who was the best we've had for decades, and had been in power a long time (and to many we were due a change).
You say that Brown lost because we were due a change. Well if that was the case for Cameron, it is certainly the case for Starmer.
As for Corbyn's two losses, let's not forget that The party itself was instrumental in actually throwing those two elections.
 
Sure start was basically public child care which allowed parents to work and have a break and I think the Tories have said it was a mistake to get rid of it (bloody Cameron)

Just going back and I’ve posted this before

2019 - 10’269.051 Corbyn
20017 - 12’877.918 Corbyn
2015. - 9’347.273 Milliband
2010 - 8’609.527 Brown
2005 - 9’552.436 Blair

The idea there is an appetite for a center Labour Party isn’t backed up by the voting numbers. Just go answer one of your points Andy I think Starmer will get a low turn out and the recent by elections have shown no gains in the red wall and middle England BUT they’ve raised their vote in metropolitan areas like London that they don’t need 🤷🏻‍♂️

Wakefield? Did you forget that one?
 
Sure start was basically public child care which allowed parents to work and have a break and I think the Tories have said it was a mistake to get rid of it (bloody Cameron)

Just going back and I’ve posted this before

2019 - 10’269.051 Corbyn
20017 - 12’877.918 Corbyn
2015. - 9’347.273 Milliband
2010 - 8’609.527 Brown
2005 - 9’552.436 Blair

The idea there is an appetite for a center Labour Party isn’t backed up by the voting numbers. Just go answer one of your points Andy I think Starmer will get a low turn out and the recent by elections have shown no gains in the red wall and middle England BUT they’ve raised their vote in metropolitan areas like London that they don’t need 🤷🏻‍♂️

Absolutely pointless to post numbers without context. Labour could've got 20 million votes, which matters not if the Tories get 25 million.

In 2017 Corbyn managed to successfully engage a number of previously disengaged demographics (youth/women) which almost got him over the line against an awful May campaign. His issue was that he also engaged the other end of the spectrum against him which carried it for the Tories.

Posting total votes is also a poor metric as Labour increased vote share in already heavy Labour constituencies but was split in key swing seats (red wall).

Your analysis that the appetite for a center Labour Party isn’t their is flawed based purely on the numbers you posted, arguably, if Corbyn was more inclusive to the center, he may have won the election. This obviously is impossible to prove without an exact rerun of that election, just like your theory of a lack of support for a Labour center.
 
The country needs a transformative and capable leader, and if you think that this swing to Labour is because of anything Starmer is doing, think again. We have endured years of the most useless, dishonest, corrupt series of governments in UK history.
Ha ha, was waiting for you to chirp up with your anti-Starmer/anti-Labour clap-trap. You and SuperStu are like a lightweight, amateur wrestling tag team.
 
The country needs a transformative and capable leader, and if you think that this swing to Labour is because of anything Starmer is doing, think again. We have endured years of the most useless, dishonest, corrupt series of governments in UK history.
Don’t disagree but he has passed the first test by looking sensible.

I think you should also recognise the Tories have stayed in power by offering things a lot of voters wanted. You can’t just dismiss them because you don’t like them, you have to learn.
 
No but who wouldn't have a 20% lead after what we have had to live through and witness from the Tories these last few years. The incompetence, corruption and dishonesty of the Johnson/Truss/Sunak era are utterly unprecedented.
I was very much a Corbyn fan. But, I genuinely believe if he was still leader, Labour would be no where near 20% ahead, and that the Tories would still be very confident of winning the next election.

Just my own opinion of course.
 
Chris, it was a really simple point I made in response to a claim that people were afraid to vote Corbyn

I’ve even (courtesy of BoroFur) listed what percentage of the vote Corbyn got. And for the countless time if the right wing had supported him we probably would have had a labour government

But again people were not afraid of Corbyn AND he had to contend with no Scotland that the centerists lost in 2015 courtesy of Milliband

2019 - 10’269.051 Corbyn 32%
20017 - 12’877.918 Corbyn 40%
2015. - 9’347.273 Milliband 30.4%
2010 - 8’609.527 Brown 29%
2005 - 9’552.436 Blair 35.2%

Btw Chris is it only you’re own statistics you like because you seem to have a problem with other people posting numbers. That was a joke btw ✌️

I know what you were trying to prove, I was pointing out the pointlessness of using numbers without context.

All Labour votes were not for Corbyn, Milliband, Brown or Blair, likewise Tory Votes for Cameron, May and Johnson.

Labour in 2017 under Corbyn lost significant swing seats as people were put off voting for Corbyn, who gained a significant increase in votes from already strong Labour constituencies which is redundant under FPTP.

To win an election you need to convince swing voters in key minority seats to vote for you or put enough people off from voting for the opposition. Something Corbyn failed to achieve significantly enough.

Gaining 20% more votes in seats you already have is useless, nor does it prove that general Labour voter intention was anti-centrist.
 
We’re going round in circles and as I said before there was 50 out of 51 Scotland seats that Milliband lost if they aren’t key seats I don’t know what are 🤷🏻‍♂️

And Starmer is going to have to win an election without them unless he can prove that a London Sir who is a lawyer is what Scotland needs 🤔

Corbyn could never win an election without those Scotland seats

because between the 1997 Labour landslide and Brown Labour was haemorrhaging votes and I said they lost 4.9 million votes so the idea all Labours problems stem from Corbyn just doesn’t add up

Chris do you think Starmer can win a general election without Scotland? because it would need to look like Blair’s 2005 general election result if he can’t rely on Scotland

That means he needs to increase the vote as you say outside of the metropolitan areas (which Starmer isn’t doing) and the blue wall has so far gone to the Liberal Democrat’s since Starmer has been in charge
And your point is?
 
Gosh he's wonderful isn't he. What a man. Whatever he says now is the best possible thing to say now to get elected. Once he's elected whatever you imagine the best thing to do is, that's what he'll be doing. Even if it's the opposite of what he says now, that just won't matter then. What a fantastic, delightful leader. Don't call it a cult though. (y) Fair enough chaps, you've won me over. I'm in.
no one is trying to win you over, just have a sensible discussion on it, the tone of your post makes it appear that you aren't capable of that. Fair enough chap
 
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