Meanwhile, in Sweden...

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Someone on twitter has posted this saying this would be Sweden according to Ferguson's model that has been lambasted in many places.

20200522_125734.jpg
 
Right but you see the blue line yes... That's our lockdown.
Sweden have done way less than our lockdown and they are the light blue line right at the bottom there.

🤦🏻‍♂️

Okay I’ve misread it, no need for the slap face. So aggressive all the time

I see what the graph is saying now. Now sure what the relevance of Ferguson’s modelling has to do with Sweden.
 
Okay I’ve misread it, no need for the slap face. So aggressive all the time

I see what the graph is saying now. Now sure what the relevance of Ferguson’s modelling has to do with Sweden.
Because this country and to some extent the United States used his model as a basis for lockdown measures.

On that graph I would be interested to see Japan's line too.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.th...deaths-why-japan-is-a-coronavirus-outlier?amp

A country with a larger population, more congested cities, the largest elderly population in the world and no lockdown measures.

Hmm
 
Lol looks at the comments in that tweet mate.. your posting nonsense
I've looked at the comments. Nothing in them invalidates the tweet. One says that "toll" does not mean "death rate per capita" which is arguable, one says the data is "cherry-picked," but as the article says, it is specifically looking at the current state of the pandemic (by using the most recent week's figures) and one points out that Sweden's overall deaths per capita since the start of the pandemic is not the highest - which is true but not the point being made.
 
I've looked at the comments. Nothing in them invalidates the tweet. One says that "toll" does not mean "death rate per capita" which is arguable, one says the data is "cherry-picked," but as the article says, it is specifically looking at the current state of the pandemic (by using the most recent week's figures) and one points out that Sweden's overall deaths per capita since the start of the pandemic is not the highest - which is true but not the point being made.

They're looking at the wrong data, basically. And comparisons with Italy/Spain are meaningless as different mortality data is collected in each country. And given the results in the UK over the latter part of the week, I doubt it's true anyway.
 
They're looking at the wrong data, basically. And comparisons with Italy/Spain are meaningless as different mortality data is collected in each country. And given the results in the UK over the latter part of the week, I doubt it's true anyway.
That list of economic contractions would seem to suggest that all those countries have suffered similar contractions irrespective of the degree of lockdown. Or am I misreading it?
 
They're looking at the wrong data, basically.
How is it "the wrong data"? The current 7-day rolling average of death rate per capita is admittedly just one piece of data - but I would say an important one. Whether it's the most important piece of data is open for discussion but as far as I can tell it is a relevant measure to allow you to judge the current state of affairs in a country, in relation to the impact the virus is having.
 
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