The 9am figures not disclosed yet?

On the plus side let's hope national positives have turned a corner, we have been seeing some signs of a reversal for a short while.
 
Is it Alvez? You may be right of course, but maybe they are waiting until cases are much lower. I don't know.

When you look at the graph my friend I'd say it's a fair summation to conclude the only benefit of going from tier 2 to 3 is £££ for Nottingham
 
Maybe Alvez but dropping numbers says the measures are working, or at least it is one interpretation. If it is financially better for the area to maintain local measures and increase those, that is a very poor show and shouldn't be allowed to happen.
 
Aren’t the numbers spreading southwards though?
Somebody helpfully referred me to a hospital admissions site a few weeks back and I’ve been keeping an eye on them and there are definite upturns in the southern parts of the country.
So even if the north peaks and starts going down a continuing surge down south with the big population centres down there will keep the national figures up for many weeks yet.
Probably a better indication for us is to watch our local figures.
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 23,065 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 24,701
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 1.2% to 22,125 per day, following 1.3% decrease yesterday (and 57th increase in the past 61 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 13.2% higher than one week ago (from 13.7% higher yesterday) and 38.5% higher than two weeks ago (from 38.7% higher yesterday and 30.6% higher 7 days ago)
• 280 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 310 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 6.0% to 230 per day, following 8.5% increase yesterday (and 42nd increase in the past 44 days)
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 52.6% higher than one week ago (from 51.2% higher yesterday) and 129.4% higher than two weeks ago (from 137.0% higher yesterday and 170.3% higher 7 days ago)
 
As of 9am on 30 October, 989,745 people have tested positive for COVID-19 in the UK.

Positive cases were 24,405.

274 deaths were reported today.

58,925 deaths with Covid-19 on the death certificate.

Looks like a sprint to get capacity for 500,000 tests a day by tomorrow (with 350,000 tests).
 
As of 9am on 30 October, 989,745 people have tested positive for COVID-19 in the UK.

Positive cases were 24,405.

274 deaths were reported today.

58,925 deaths with Covid-19 on the death certificate.

Looks like a sprint to get capacity for 500,000 tests a day by tomorrow (with 350,000 tests).

It still looks very stable around the 20 - 25k mark, how are they predicting worse case scenario and figures above 100000 per day?

Cases in the north look to be stabilising and the curve flattening.

Is an exponential growth about to happen or are the media outlets scaremongering?
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 24,405 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 23,065
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 2.5% to 22,678 per day, following 1.2% increase yesterday (and 58th increase in the past 62 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 12.0% higher than one week ago (from 13.2% higher yesterday) and 39.8% higher than two weeks ago (from 38.5% higher yesterday and 34.1% higher 7 days ago)
• 274 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, slightly down from 280 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 3.1% to 237 per day, following 6.0% increase yesterday (and 43rd increase in the past 45 days)
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 45.2% higher than one week ago (from 52.6% higher yesterday) and 121.1% higher than two weeks ago (from 129.4% higher yesterday and 177.9% higher 7 days ago)
 
It still looks very stable around the 20 - 25k mark, how are they predicting worse case scenario and figures above 100000 per day?

Cases in the north look to be stabilising and the curve flattening.

Is an exponential growth about to happen or are the media outlets scaremongering?
The curves show a huge fall off in 18 to 30s. All other age groups increasing. I guess it's waiting to see the older and younger age group curves leveling off.

There was a report earlier (Sky) that prevalence in care homes were comparable with the first wave. That would be really worrying, but there will presumably be more on this is it's true.
 
Well interesting bear it's rhinovirus season now which then moves over for flu season normally into December...

I'm hoping that if the infections stay like this flu season will disappear and it will taper off into the new year and then vaccine for you oldies (I'll give mine up for you). 😉

Jesus that was far too optimistic for me. Better have a cup of tea and a sit down.
 
Looking more and more like we've peaked unless it's a consistent reporting issue .. good time to lockdown that way when the cases go away you can claim it was the lockdown that did it.
 
Looking more and more like we've peaked unless it's a consistent reporting issue .. good time to lockdown that way when the cases go away you can claim it was the lockdown that did it.
I think you'll find that we haven't peaked cos the scientist and statisticians tell us we haven't 😉
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 21,915 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 24,405
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 0.7% to 22,522 per day, following 2.5% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new cases is 6.1% higher than one week ago (from 12.0% higher yesterday) and 37.6% higher than two weeks ago (from 39.8% higher yesterday and 34.1% higher 7 days ago)
• 326 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 274 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 9.2% to 259 per day, following 3.1% increase yesterday (and 44th increase in the past 46 days)
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 55.2% higher than one week ago (from 45.2% higher yesterday) and 121.0% higher than two weeks ago (from 121.1% higher yesterday and 163.2% higher 7 days ago)
 
Apologies for this being over 24 hours late:

Highest number of positive tests (7-day average) as a proportion of all tests processed (7-day average) since 6th May (2 days earlier than last week).
Highest 7-day average for hospital admissions since 28th April (13 days earlier than last week).
Highest number of people on ventilation since 21st May (8 days earlier than last week).
Highest 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test since 30th May (8 days earlier than last week).
First instance of four consecutive days with 270 or more new deaths announced since 22nd May (2 days earlier than last week's comparison with 180 or more deaths on four consecutive days).
 
As of 9am on 1 November, 1,034,914 people have tested positive for COVID-19 in the UK.

Positive cases were 23,254.

162 deaths were reported today.

58,925 deaths with Covid-19 on the death certificate.

Was hoping for less than that, after yesterday doubled last Saturday’s.

Hopefully a low one tomorrow then the next two days will paint a clearer picture of where the peak is going to be :(
 
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