Thanks borolad. Your optimism isn't reflected in the reporting elsewhere.
The Russians have been firing ordnance at a rate of 5/1 compared to the Ukranians
And when the numbers were spun it had little effect on the front lines.
For sure Russian loses outstrip several times over the Ukranians but thats been the case just about throughout the war.
I'm just in awe of what the Ukraine has done and continues to do but there needs to be some tangible gains now to match the latest supply of hardware.
If there isn't I fear there won't be another major supply push from a West that has becoming more weary of it as time goes on and as elections loom on both sides of the pond so will focus.
Just my perception and I do appreciate that you have better detail and knowledge of the reality on the ground but given the info thats there for the general public I don't think public opinion will differ too much from it.
Let's just say that your information sources aren't that good. Especially if the telegraph is one of the better ones.
I'm not sure that the 5-1 ratio is correct, but what you have to factor in is the accuracy and range of that ordnance. It's true that the UAF have had to be a bit frugal in recent months, but what they do fire is better targeted and much more effective.
You remember that 40km long convoy approaching Kyiv? Remember all to boasts of superior T90 tanks? Where are they all now? Of course, given that the Russian "elite" in government do not give a hoot about their footsoldiers and given their view that they will win in the end by constantly draining Ukrainian consumable stocks (it nearly worked) ... their stubbornness has meant that it has taken a much longer time to degrade their capabilities than would have been thought, if normal war metrics were applied. The fact is, those metrics haven't been...and they have been able to wheel out a lot of old 1960s hardware to keep things going. even that is running out. Ukraine finally has superiority in tank numbers (and better stuff) and they finally have the capability to defeat the Russian airforce. This is to the extent that (from Russian sources) their pilots are being sent on missions at gunpoint. Where are all the attack helicopters? Gone. What about the air bases in Crimea? Gone. Where is the Black Sea fleet? Gone.
Regardless of whether the USA comes on board, this is only going to continue to swing in Ukraine's favour.
Taurus missiles have now been OK'd for use. Meteors are dumping Su34s and Su35s out of the sky. Ukraine can now hit refineries and other military factories thousands of miles inside Russia (St Petersberg just 2 weeks ago).
There is a plan. I'm lucky enough to have a good idea what it is. But the UAF will not be coerced into an offensive before they are ready to see it right through .... with ample air support and sufficient stocks of consumables. They are playing a patient "game".
Meanwhile, I am sure it hasn't escaped your notice that wives and mothers have started protesting in the streets of Moscow, and are being arrested. Sure "A Putin" will win the election next month. But it will be pyrrhic.
I wish I could post more of what I actually know on here ... I just can't, for obvious reasons.
Keep the faith.